FDU
W-L: (11-21) PR = 93.3388Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Iowa St B12 (28- 9, 98.7) 50-88 1108 H St Peters MAAC (17-12, 95.1) 83-93 1112 H Texas SEC T (21-15, 97.8) 58-93 1115 H NJ Tech AE (16-17, 94.2) 81-93 1118 A COFST **-58 1124 H Ea Texas A&M SL E (11-20, 94.2) 65-70 1126 H Army PAT (11-21, 93.5) 73-81 1202 H Providence BE (15-18, 96.9) 64-94 1204 A MBKBA 86-38 1210 H Fordham A10 (17-15, 95.4) 54-75 1219 A LEHMA 76-42 1222 H Boston Col ACC (11-20, 95.7) 61-72 1229 H Minnesota B10 (15-18, 96.7) 43-60 102 A Mercyhurst NE M (17-18, 94.0) 74-67 104 H St Francis NE S ( 7-24, 92.9) 82-85 108 A Chicago St NE C ( 7-25, 93.2) 70-63 110 H New Haven NE N (14-17, 93.8) 55-65 117 H LIU NE (24-11, 95.2) 59-66 119 A Wagner NE W (14-17, 93.9) 68-61 123 A Ce Connecticut NE C (18-13, 94.3) 76-66 126 H Le Moyne NE L (15-17, 94.1) 74-87 129 H Stonehill NE S (12-21, 93.4) 57-58 131 H Wagner NE W (14-17, 93.9) 72-75 205 A Stonehill NE S (12-21, 93.4) 74-58 207 A Mercyhurst NE M (17-18, 94.0) 55-52 212 A St Francis NE S ( 7-24, 92.9) 66-59 214 H Ce Connecticut NE C (18-13, 94.3) 57-63 219 A Chicago St NE C ( 7-25, 93.2) 60-59 221 H New Haven NE N (14-17, 93.8) 77-84 226 H Le Moyne NE L (15-17, 94.1) 59-76 228 H LIU NE (24-11, 95.2) 60-74 304 H Mercyhurst NE M (17-18, 94.0) 61-70
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Iowa St 50-88 -38 -5 0.00
1108 H St Peters 83-93 -10 -2 -0.22
1112 H Texas 58-93 -35 -4 0.00
1115 H NJ Tech 81-93 -12 -1 -1.14
1124 H Ea Texas A&M 65-70 -5 -1 -1.12
1126 H Army 73-81 -8 0 -1.80
1202 H Providence 64-94 -30 -4 0.00
1210 H Fordham 54-75 -21 -2 0.00
1222 H Boston Col 61-72 -11 -2 0.00
1229 H Minnesota 43-60 -17 -3 0.00
102 A Mercyhurst 74-67 7 -1 + 2.68
104 H St Francis 82-85 -3 0 - -2.41
108 A Chicago St 70-63 7 0 1.89
110 H New Haven 55-65 -10 0 -1.53
117 H LIU 59-66 -7 -2 -0.15
119 A Wagner 68-61 7 -1 + 2.53
123 A Ce Connecticut 76-66 10 -1 + 3.02
126 H Le Moyne 74-87 -13 -1 -1.28
129 H Stonehill 57-58 -1 0 -0.95
131 H Wagner 72-75 -3 -1 -1.49
205 A Stonehill 74-58 16 0 + 2.07
207 A Mercyhurst 55-52 3 -1 + 2.68
212 A St Francis 66-59 7 0 1.61
214 H Ce Connecticut 57-63 -6 -1 -1.00
219 A Chicago St 60-59 1 0 0.89
221 H New Haven 77-84 -7 0 -1.53
226 H Le Moyne 59-76 -17 -1 -1.28
228 H LIU 60-74 -14 -2 -0.15
304 H Mercyhurst 61-70 -9 -1 -1.34
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 104 H St Francis 82-85 -3 0 - -2.41 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 102 A Mercyhurst 74-67 7 -1 + 2.68 119 A Wagner 68-61 7 -1 + 2.53 123 A Ce Connecticut 76-66 10 -1 + 3.02 205 A Stonehill 74-58 16 0 + 2.07 207 A Mercyhurst 55-52 3 -1 + 2.68 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Iowa St (28- 9, 98.7) 50-88 -1.19 6.29 -0.01 1.14 -0.68
3 H St Peters (17-12, 95.1) 83-93 -4.77 2.71 -0.01 1.14 -2.72
3 H Texas (21-15, 97.8) 58-93 -2.12 5.36 -0.01 1.14 -1.21
3 H NJ Tech (16-17, 94.2) 81-93 -5.69 1.78 -0.01 1.14 -3.25
3 H Ea Texas A&M (11-20, 94.2) 65-70 -5.67 1.81 -0.01 1.14 -3.23
3 H Army (11-21, 93.5) 73-81 -6.35 1.12 -0.01 1.14 -3.62
3 H Providence (15-18, 96.9) 64-94 -2.97 4.51 -0.01 1.14 -1.69
3 H Fordham (17-15, 95.4) 54-75 -4.51 2.97 -0.01 1.14 -2.57
3 H Boston Col (11-20, 95.7) 61-72 -4.19 3.29 -0.01 1.14 -2.39
3 H Minnesota (15-18, 96.7) 43-60 -3.17 4.31 -0.01 1.14 -1.81
3 A Mercyhurst (17-18, 94.0) 74-67 -5.89 1.59 0.01 1.14 3.63
3 H St Francis ( 7-24, 92.9) 82-85 -6.96 1.00 -0.01 1.14 -3.97
3 A Chicago St ( 7-25, 93.2) 70-63 -6.68 1.00 0.01 1.14 2.30
3 H New Haven (14-17, 93.8) 55-65 -6.08 1.40 -0.01 1.14 -3.46
3 H LIU (24-11, 95.2) 59-66 -4.70 2.78 -0.01 1.14 -2.68
3 A Wagner (14-17, 93.9) 68-61 -6.04 1.44 0.01 1.14 3.29
3 A Ce Connecticut (18-13, 94.3) 76-66 -5.55 1.92 0.01 1.14 4.40
3 H Le Moyne (15-17, 94.1) 74-87 -5.83 1.64 -0.01 1.14 -3.32
3 H Stonehill (12-21, 93.4) 57-58 -6.50 1.00 -0.01 1.14 -3.71
3 H Wagner (14-17, 93.9) 72-75 -6.04 1.44 -0.01 1.14 -3.44
3 A Stonehill (12-21, 93.4) 74-58 -6.50 1.00 0.01 1.14 2.30
3 A Mercyhurst (17-18, 94.0) 55-52 -5.89 1.59 0.01 1.14 3.63
3 A St Francis ( 7-24, 92.9) 66-59 -6.96 1.00 0.01 1.14 2.30
3 H Ce Connecticut (18-13, 94.3) 57-63 -5.55 1.92 -0.01 1.14 -3.17
3 A Chicago St ( 7-25, 93.2) 60-59 -6.68 1.00 0.01 1.14 2.30
3 H New Haven (14-17, 93.8) 77-84 -6.08 1.40 -0.01 1.14 -3.46
3 H Le Moyne (15-17, 94.1) 59-76 -5.83 1.64 -0.01 1.14 -3.32
3 H LIU (24-11, 95.2) 60-74 -4.70 2.78 -0.01 1.14 -2.68
3 H Mercyhurst (17-18, 94.0) 61-70 -5.89 1.59 -0.01 1.14 -3.36
------
-35.60
|
winning pts = 24.1619 losing points = -59.7600
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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